Model: FluOutlook - MechAug

    Name: Augmented Mechanistic GLEAM Ensemble
    Abbreviation: MechAug
    Owner: khoa
    Team name: FluOutlook
    Description: Team name: FluOutlook
    Team members: Alessandro Vespignani, Qian Zhang, Xinyue Xiong, Mauricio Santillana, Fred Lu.
    Data source(s): ILI Net, Athena Health
    Methods: This forecasting method is a combination of state of the art Machine Learning algorithm and a mechanistic model based on GLEAM, an epidemic stochastic generative model. At the begining of the flu season, GLEAM seeded by four different data sources (Athena, FluNearYou, Twitter, Population) generates four different forecasts for the flu profile. At each week along the flu season, the weekly ILI Net data augmented by the Machine Learning forecast is utilized in GLEAM to provide adaptive weekly forecast. The four weekly forecasts are combined by Bayesian Model Averaging to form the final forecast.
    Contributors:
    License: Other License
    Notes:
    Citation: None
    Methods: None
    Home: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/master/model-forecasts/real-time-component-models/FluOutlook_MechAug
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (21)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2020-05-18 (No data)
    2020-05-11 (No data)
    2020-05-04 (No data)
    2020-04-27 (No data)
    2020-04-20 (No data)
    2020-04-13 (No data)
    2020-04-06 (No data)
    2020-03-30 (No data)
    2020-03-23 (No data)
    2020-03-16 (No data)
    2020-03-09 (No data)
    2020-03-02 EW10-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-25 01:58:18 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-02-24 EW09-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-11 20:48:08 UTC 2020-03-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-02-17 EW08-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-11 20:48:07 UTC 2020-03-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-02-10 EW07-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-11 20:48:06 UTC 2020-03-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-02-03 EW06-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-11 20:48:05 UTC 2020-03-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-01-27 EW05-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-11 20:48:04 UTC 2020-03-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-01-20 EW04-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-11 20:48:02 UTC 2020-03-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-01-13 EW03-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-11 20:48:01 UTC 2020-03-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-01-06 EW02-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-11 20:48:00 UTC 2020-03-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-12-30 EW01-2020-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-11 20:47:58 UTC 2020-03-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-12-23 EW52-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:15:04 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-12-16 EW51-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:14:19 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-12-09 EW50-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:13:30 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-12-02 EW49-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:12:36 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-11-25 EW48-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:11:48 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-11-18 EW47-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:10:54 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-11-11 EW46-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:10:00 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-11-04 EW45-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:09:09 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-10-28 EW44-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:08:22 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-10-21 EW43-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:07:32 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-10-14 EW42-2019-FluOutlook_MechAug.csv 2020-03-10 21:06:39 UTC 2020-03-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2019-10-07 (No data)
    2019-09-30 (No data)
    2019-05-20 (No data)
    2019-05-13 (No data)
    2019-05-06 (No data)
    2019-04-29 (No data)
    2019-04-22 (No data)
    2019-04-15 (No data)
    2019-04-08 (No data)
    2019-04-01 (No data)
    2019-03-25 (No data)
    2019-03-18 (No data)
    2019-03-11 (No data)
    2019-03-04 (No data)
    2019-02-25 (No data)
    2019-02-18 (No data)
    2019-02-11 (No data)
    2019-02-04 (No data)
    2019-01-28 (No data)
    2019-01-21 (No data)
    2019-01-14 (No data)
    2019-01-07 (No data)
    2018-12-31 (No data)
    2018-12-24 (No data)
    2018-12-17 (No data)
    2018-12-10 (No data)
    2018-12-03 (No data)
    2018-11-26 (No data)
    2018-11-19 (No data)
    2018-11-12 (No data)
    2018-11-05 (No data)
    2018-10-29 (No data)
    2018-10-22 (No data)
    2018-10-15 (No data)
    2018-10-08 (No data)
    2018-10-01 (No data)
    2018-04-30 (No data)
    2018-04-23 (No data)
    2018-04-16 (No data)
    2018-04-09 (No data)
    2018-04-02 (No data)
    2018-03-26 (No data)
    2018-03-19 (No data)
    2018-03-12 (No data)
    2018-03-05 (No data)
    2018-02-26 (No data)
    2018-02-19 (No data)
    2018-02-12 (No data)
    2018-02-05 (No data)
    2018-01-29 (No data)
    2018-01-22 (No data)
    2018-01-15 (No data)
    2018-01-08 (No data)
    2018-01-01 (No data)
    2017-12-25 (No data)
    2017-12-18 (No data)
    2017-12-11 (No data)
    2017-12-04 (No data)
    2017-11-27 (No data)
    2017-11-20 (No data)
    2017-11-13 (No data)
    2017-11-06 (No data)
    2017-10-30 (No data)
    2017-10-23 (No data)