Model: California Department of Public Health - CADPH-FluCAT_Ensemble

    Name: FluCAT Ensemble
    Abbreviation: CADPH-FluCAT_Ensemble
    Owner: lshandross
    Team name: California Department of Public Health
    Description: Ensemble of time series forecasts approaches including ARIMA, Holt's, damped Holt's and neural networks
    Contributors: Lauren White (CADPH) <lauren.white@cdph.ca.gov>, Erin Murray (CADPH) <erin.murray@cdph.ca.gov>, Tomas M. León (CADPH) <tomas.leon@cdph.ca.gov>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: Designated model // Data Inputs: "Daily incident flu hospitalizations (NHSN), clinical lab surveillance data, Change healthcare claims data (accessed via covidcast) // Team Funding: "The views and opinions expressed by the authors are their own and do not necessarily represent the views and opinions of the California Department of Public Health or the California Health and Human Services Agency."
    Citation:
    Methods: An ensemble of several time series forecasts including; (1) autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), which uses a weighted linear sum of recent past observations or lags, (2) exponential smoothing (ETS), which uses weighted averages of past observations, with the weights decaying exponentially as the observations get older, and (3) neural networks using the forecast package in R.
    Home: https://calcat.covid19.ca.gov/cacovidmodels/
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (29)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-04-27 forecast-73817463bc.json 2024-04-25 11:23:17 UTC 2024-04-25 11:23:17 UTC
    2024-04-20 (No data)
    2024-04-13 forecast-73e3574b42e0.json 2024-04-12 11:23:07 UTC 2024-04-12 11:23:07 UTC
    2024-04-06 forecast-73a737175863.json 2024-04-04 11:23:06 UTC 2024-04-04 11:23:06 UTC
    2024-03-30 forecast-758235e0c83d.json 2024-03-28 11:26:58 UTC 2024-03-28 11:26:58 UTC
    2024-03-23 forecast-7555103704cc.json 2024-03-21 11:27:00 UTC 2024-03-21 11:27:00 UTC
    2024-03-16 forecast-75a47279c9a5.json 2024-03-14 11:25:59 UTC 2024-03-14 11:25:59 UTC
    2024-03-09 forecast-75e26485e455.json 2024-03-07 11:26:15 UTC 2024-03-07 11:26:15 UTC
    2024-03-02 forecast-7520241ecf7b.json 2024-03-01 15:34:08 UTC 2024-03-01 15:34:08 UTC
    2024-06-01 (No data)
    2024-05-25 (No data)
    2024-05-18 (No data)
    2024-05-11 (No data)
    2024-05-04 forecast-73ae3fb7f051.json 2024-05-02 11:23:33 UTC 2024-05-02 11:23:33 UTC
    2024-02-24 forecast-74e71652b563.json 2024-02-22 11:25:42 UTC 2024-02-22 11:25:42 UTC
    2024-02-17 forecast-7547110c3864.json 2024-02-15 11:25:26 UTC 2024-02-15 11:25:26 UTC
    2024-02-10 forecast-74e830e1196a.json 2024-02-08 11:25:59 UTC 2024-02-08 11:25:59 UTC
    2024-02-03 forecast-750010733259.json 2024-02-01 11:24:37 UTC 2024-02-01 11:24:37 UTC
    2024-01-27 forecast-756e52893db1.json 2024-01-25 11:27:04 UTC 2024-01-25 11:27:04 UTC
    2024-01-20 forecast-74f84f0e8667.json 2024-01-18 11:25:43 UTC 2024-01-18 11:25:43 UTC
    2024-01-13 forecast-752077fba1d5.json 2024-01-11 11:25:56 UTC 2024-01-11 11:25:56 UTC
    2024-01-06 forecast-74f92238587c.json 2024-01-04 11:25:47 UTC 2024-01-04 11:25:47 UTC
    2023-12-30 forecast-74df6494c272.json 2023-12-28 11:25:25 UTC 2023-12-28 11:25:25 UTC
    2023-12-23 forecast-74d12be86171.json 2023-12-21 11:25:51 UTC 2023-12-21 11:25:51 UTC
    2023-12-16 forecast-75bc1e8ccfaf.json 2023-12-14 11:25:56 UTC 2023-12-14 11:25:56 UTC
    2023-12-09 forecast-75c63b0dfae2.json 2023-12-08 18:53:53 UTC 2023-12-08 18:53:53 UTC
    2023-12-02 forecast-8548b89b5.json 2023-12-07 15:03:37 UTC 2023-12-07 15:03:37 UTC
    2023-11-25 forecast-4600579c322e.json 2023-11-28 16:25:06 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:06 UTC
    2023-11-18 forecast-4600687213fd.json 2023-11-28 16:25:06 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:06 UTC
    2023-11-11 forecast-46006d9c34fe.json 2023-11-28 16:25:05 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:05 UTC
    2023-11-04 forecast-460042925d17.json 2023-11-28 16:25:05 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:05 UTC
    2023-10-28 forecast-46006619d89.json 2023-11-28 16:25:04 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:04 UTC
    2023-10-21 forecast-46005fe069ae.json 2023-11-28 16:25:03 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:03 UTC
    2023-10-14 forecast-46004dad3ce8.json 2023-11-28 16:25:03 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:03 UTC
    2023-10-07 (No data)