Model: Los Alamos National Lab and Northern Arizona University - LosAlamos_NAU-CModel_Flu

    Name: Compartmental Model with Bayesian Inference
    Abbreviation: LosAlamos_NAU-CModel_Flu
    Owner: lshandross
    Team name: Los Alamos National Lab and Northern Arizona University
    Description: A compartmental model with Bayesian inference, uncertainty quantification and calibration
    Contributors: Ye Chen (Northern Arizona University) <Ye.Chen@nau.edu>, Richard Posner (Northern Arizona University) <Richard.Posner@nau.edu>, Jaechoul Lee (Northern Arizona University) <Jaechoul.Lee@nau.edu>, Joseph R Mihaljevic (Northern Arizona University) <Joseph.Mihaljevic@nau.edu>, Avery Drennan (Northern Arizona University) <aad473@nau.edu>, William Scott Hlavack (Los Alamos National Lab) <hlavacek@lanl.gov>, Yen Ting Lin (Los Alamos National Lab) <yentingl@lanl.gov>, Abhishek Mallela (Los Alamos National Lab) <abhishek.mallela@gmail.com>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: Designated model // Data inputs: State level daily hospitalization data from HealthData.gov.
    Citation:
    Methods: We employed a compartmental model that features a time-dependent transmission rate as the base model. Using Bayesian inference, we parametrize the transmission rate from hospitalization data. Subsequent steps involved uncertainty quantification and model calibration.
    Home: https://github.com/ye-chen-netsci/FluSight-forecast-hub-2023
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (28)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-04-27 forecast-73811601fdaf.json 2024-04-25 11:23:05 UTC 2024-04-25 11:23:05 UTC
    2024-04-20 forecast-734e7c7ca736.json 2024-04-18 11:22:54 UTC 2024-04-18 11:22:54 UTC
    2024-04-13 forecast-73f06d1818e5.json 2024-04-13 11:18:51 UTC 2024-04-13 11:18:51 UTC
    2024-04-06 forecast-73a775147f88.json 2024-04-04 11:22:52 UTC 2024-04-04 11:22:52 UTC
    2024-03-30 forecast-75827bebd85.json 2024-03-28 11:26:42 UTC 2024-03-28 11:26:42 UTC
    2024-03-23 forecast-755532d5807a.json 2024-03-21 11:26:47 UTC 2024-03-21 11:26:47 UTC
    2024-03-16 forecast-75a45b06a6df.json 2024-03-14 11:25:39 UTC 2024-03-14 11:25:39 UTC
    2024-03-09 forecast-75e26154481c.json 2024-03-07 11:25:55 UTC 2024-03-07 11:25:55 UTC
    2024-03-02 forecast-7520a31e293.json 2024-03-01 15:33:48 UTC 2024-03-01 15:33:48 UTC
    2024-06-01 (No data)
    2024-05-25 (No data)
    2024-05-18 (No data)
    2024-05-11 (No data)
    2024-05-04 forecast-73ae4098b7a4.json 2024-05-02 11:23:21 UTC 2024-05-02 11:23:21 UTC
    2024-02-24 forecast-74e769487c08.json 2024-02-22 11:25:27 UTC 2024-02-22 11:25:27 UTC
    2024-02-17 forecast-7547235958ae.json 2024-02-15 11:25:13 UTC 2024-02-15 11:25:13 UTC
    2024-02-10 forecast-74e8273b1498.json 2024-02-08 11:25:42 UTC 2024-02-08 11:25:42 UTC
    2024-02-03 forecast-750ec0b0f1b.json 2024-02-02 11:24:49 UTC 2024-02-02 11:24:49 UTC
    2024-01-27 (No data)
    2024-01-20 forecast-74f81b06a79c.json 2024-01-18 11:25:27 UTC 2024-01-18 11:25:27 UTC
    2024-01-13 forecast-752039275919.json 2024-01-11 11:25:37 UTC 2024-01-11 11:25:37 UTC
    2024-01-06 forecast-74f91afbae2e.json 2024-01-04 11:25:28 UTC 2024-01-04 11:25:28 UTC
    2023-12-30 forecast-74df5492a122.json 2023-12-28 11:25:18 UTC 2023-12-28 11:25:18 UTC
    2023-12-23 forecast-74d15ed403c5.json 2023-12-21 11:25:38 UTC 2023-12-21 11:25:38 UTC
    2023-12-16 forecast-75bc1e6879ec.json 2023-12-14 11:25:36 UTC 2023-12-14 11:25:36 UTC
    2023-12-09 forecast-75c640fa8840.json 2023-12-08 18:53:34 UTC 2023-12-08 18:53:34 UTC
    2023-12-02 forecast-649c57147f81.json 2023-12-07 15:03:29 UTC 2023-12-07 15:03:29 UTC
    2023-11-25 forecast-d18750a7348.json 2023-11-28 16:24:41 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:41 UTC
    2023-11-18 forecast-d181dfd3109.json 2023-11-28 16:24:38 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:38 UTC
    2023-11-11 forecast-d1834d324e.json 2023-11-28 16:24:36 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:36 UTC
    2023-11-04 forecast-d185bb32063.json 2023-11-28 16:24:34 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:34 UTC
    2023-10-28 forecast-d1865aa319.json 2023-11-28 16:24:31 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:31 UTC
    2023-10-21 forecast-d1879de2f07.json 2023-11-28 16:24:28 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:28 UTC
    2023-10-14 (No data)
    2023-10-07 (No data)