Model: Signature Science - SigSci-CREG

    Name: Count Regression
    Abbreviation: SigSci-CREG
    Owner: lshandross
    Team name: Signature Science
    Description: Count regression modeling
    Contributors: VP Nagraj (Signature Science, LLC) <pmagraj@signaturescience.com>, Amy Benefield (Signature Science, LLC) <abenefield@signaturescience.com>, Desiree Williams (Signature Science, LLC) <dwilliams@signaturescience.com>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: Designated model // Data inputs: Weekly incident flu hospitalizations by state retrieved from HHS Protect API. Percent positivity of clinical lab tests by state retrieved from NREVSS. Percentage of outpatient visits characterized as influenza-like illness (ILI) by state from ILInet. // Team funding: CSTE subaward
    Citation:
    Methods: Count regression modeling approach. The procedure independently fits multiple count regression models for each location every week. Possible models are defined by a grid of all combinations of potential covariates (e.g., ILI, percent positivity of clinical lab flu tests) and model families (e.g., negative binomial, quasipoisson). The best fit model for the given forecast week and location is carried forward to generate forecasts. Forecasted values are rounded to the nearest integer and truncated at zero to align with hospitalization count target. All forecasts are reviewed for plausibility by a human prior to submission.
    Home: https://github.com/signaturescience/fiphde
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (30)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-04-27 forecast-7381515b7153.json 2024-04-25 11:22:57 UTC 2024-04-25 11:22:57 UTC
    2024-04-20 forecast-734e4b0ecef4.json 2024-04-18 11:22:45 UTC 2024-04-18 11:22:45 UTC
    2024-04-13 forecast-73e337ce40b4.json 2024-04-12 11:22:57 UTC 2024-04-12 11:22:57 UTC
    2024-04-06 forecast-73a7102d9d3c.json 2024-04-04 11:22:43 UTC 2024-04-04 11:22:43 UTC
    2024-03-30 forecast-7582487f4ef1.json 2024-03-28 11:26:33 UTC 2024-03-28 11:26:33 UTC
    2024-03-23 forecast-75554adf5835.json 2024-03-21 11:26:36 UTC 2024-03-21 11:26:36 UTC
    2024-03-16 forecast-75a44f269bf9.json 2024-03-14 11:25:29 UTC 2024-03-14 11:25:29 UTC
    2024-03-09 forecast-75e21f5b7ddd.json 2024-03-07 11:25:45 UTC 2024-03-07 11:25:45 UTC
    2024-03-02 forecast-752062325ba8.json 2024-03-01 15:33:38 UTC 2024-03-01 15:33:38 UTC
    2024-06-01 (No data)
    2024-05-25 (No data)
    2024-05-18 (No data)
    2024-05-11 (No data)
    2024-05-04 forecast-73ae39cd425c.json 2024-05-02 11:23:12 UTC 2024-05-02 11:23:12 UTC
    2024-02-24 forecast-74e713347ce4.json 2024-02-22 11:25:18 UTC 2024-02-22 11:25:18 UTC
    2024-02-17 forecast-75477680fbbb.json 2024-02-15 11:25:05 UTC 2024-02-15 11:25:05 UTC
    2024-02-10 forecast-74e82f9cc82a.json 2024-02-08 11:25:33 UTC 2024-02-08 11:25:33 UTC
    2024-02-03 forecast-750016bdb1e.json 2024-02-01 11:24:32 UTC 2024-02-01 11:24:32 UTC
    2024-01-27 forecast-756e701701e1.json 2024-01-25 11:26:34 UTC 2024-01-25 11:26:34 UTC
    2024-01-20 forecast-74f82a5a552c.json 2024-01-18 11:25:18 UTC 2024-01-18 11:25:18 UTC
    2024-01-13 forecast-75201676f4ea.json 2024-01-11 11:25:28 UTC 2024-01-11 11:25:28 UTC
    2024-01-06 forecast-74f94f94086e.json 2024-01-04 11:25:21 UTC 2024-01-04 11:25:21 UTC
    2023-12-30 forecast-74df62f142e5.json 2023-12-28 11:25:11 UTC 2023-12-28 11:25:11 UTC
    2023-12-23 forecast-74d1e570209.json 2023-12-21 11:25:29 UTC 2023-12-21 11:25:29 UTC
    2023-12-16 forecast-75bc3343feb.json 2023-12-14 11:25:28 UTC 2023-12-14 11:25:28 UTC
    2023-12-09 forecast-75c674e478bc.json 2023-12-08 18:53:26 UTC 2023-12-08 18:53:26 UTC
    2023-12-02 forecast-9bd4225561be.json 2023-12-07 15:03:28 UTC 2023-12-07 15:03:28 UTC
    2023-11-25 forecast-67582a8618d.json 2023-11-28 16:24:58 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:58 UTC
    2023-11-18 forecast-67587f72bb3.json 2023-11-28 16:24:56 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:56 UTC
    2023-11-11 forecast-675839b668a5.json 2023-11-28 16:24:54 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:54 UTC
    2023-11-04 forecast-675847d54867.json 2023-11-28 16:24:52 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:52 UTC
    2023-10-28 forecast-6758581255d6.json 2023-11-28 16:24:50 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:50 UTC
    2023-10-21 forecast-6758121161c8.json 2023-11-28 16:24:47 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:47 UTC
    2023-10-14 forecast-675859506f0e.json 2023-11-28 16:24:45 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:45 UTC
    2023-10-07 (No data)