Model: Signature Science - SigSci-TSENS

    Name: Time Series Ensemble
    Abbreviation: SigSci-TSENS
    Owner: lshandross
    Team name: Signature Science
    Description: Ensemble of time series models
    Contributors: VP Nagraj (Signature Science, LLC) <pmagraj@signaturescience.com>, Amy Benefield (Signature Science, LLC) <abenefield@signaturescience.com>, Desiree Williams (Signature Science, LLC) <dwilliams@signaturescience.com>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: Designated model // Data inputs: Weekly incident flu hospitalizations by state retrieved from HHS Protect API. // Team funding: CSTE subaward
    Citation:
    Methods: Time series ensemble with equal weights for each component. The ensemble includes models that are fit independently for each location every week. The component models include different classes of time series models, some of which have automated parameter selection (e.g., ARIMA). Models are first combined before generating an ensemble forecast, as opposed to generating individual forecasts for each model and then combining forecasts. Forecasted values are rounded to the nearest integer and truncated at zero to align with hospitalization count target. All forecasts are reviewed for plausibility by a human prior to submission.
    Home: https://github.com/signaturescience/fiphde
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (30)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-04-27 forecast-73811bce1ba4.json 2024-04-25 11:22:56 UTC 2024-04-25 11:22:56 UTC
    2024-04-20 forecast-734e1fd3acde.json 2024-04-18 11:22:43 UTC 2024-04-18 11:22:43 UTC
    2024-04-13 forecast-73e3337f859c.json 2024-04-12 11:22:56 UTC 2024-04-12 11:22:56 UTC
    2024-04-06 forecast-73a75773d575.json 2024-04-04 11:22:41 UTC 2024-04-04 11:22:41 UTC
    2024-03-30 forecast-758247c720c4.json 2024-03-28 11:26:31 UTC 2024-03-28 11:26:31 UTC
    2024-03-23 forecast-75553745a842.json 2024-03-21 11:26:35 UTC 2024-03-21 11:26:35 UTC
    2024-03-16 forecast-75a465d257eb.json 2024-03-14 11:25:27 UTC 2024-03-14 11:25:27 UTC
    2024-03-09 forecast-75e2163511dc.json 2024-03-07 11:25:44 UTC 2024-03-07 11:25:44 UTC
    2024-03-02 forecast-75201af0228e.json 2024-03-01 15:33:36 UTC 2024-03-01 15:33:36 UTC
    2024-06-01 (No data)
    2024-05-25 (No data)
    2024-05-18 (No data)
    2024-05-11 (No data)
    2024-05-04 forecast-73ae53e1a52d.json 2024-05-02 11:23:10 UTC 2024-05-02 11:23:10 UTC
    2024-02-24 forecast-74e74f5adb3b.json 2024-02-22 11:25:17 UTC 2024-02-22 11:25:17 UTC
    2024-02-17 forecast-75474358b9bd.json 2024-02-15 11:25:04 UTC 2024-02-15 11:25:04 UTC
    2024-02-10 forecast-74e83574470d.json 2024-02-08 11:25:32 UTC 2024-02-08 11:25:32 UTC
    2024-02-03 forecast-75005838621e.json 2024-02-01 11:24:31 UTC 2024-02-01 11:24:31 UTC
    2024-01-27 forecast-756e71fdc7e8.json 2024-01-25 11:26:33 UTC 2024-01-25 11:26:33 UTC
    2024-01-20 forecast-74f8291838eb.json 2024-01-18 11:25:17 UTC 2024-01-18 11:25:17 UTC
    2024-01-13 forecast-752051d30562.json 2024-01-11 11:25:27 UTC 2024-01-11 11:25:27 UTC
    2024-01-06 forecast-74f931e28d72.json 2024-01-04 11:25:21 UTC 2024-01-04 11:25:21 UTC
    2023-12-30 forecast-74df71cb9fe1.json 2023-12-28 11:25:10 UTC 2023-12-28 11:25:10 UTC
    2023-12-23 forecast-74d11afd3561.json 2023-12-21 11:25:29 UTC 2023-12-21 11:25:29 UTC
    2023-12-16 forecast-75bc16d76d72.json 2023-12-14 11:25:27 UTC 2023-12-14 11:25:27 UTC
    2023-12-09 forecast-75c66aa074.json 2023-12-08 18:53:25 UTC 2023-12-08 18:53:25 UTC
    2023-12-02 forecast-b930158d27b5.json 2023-12-07 15:03:38 UTC 2023-12-07 15:03:38 UTC
    2023-11-25 forecast-6758ac2f74.json 2023-11-28 16:24:41 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:41 UTC
    2023-11-18 forecast-67584d13371a.json 2023-11-28 16:24:39 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:39 UTC
    2023-11-11 forecast-675811f566b1.json 2023-11-28 16:24:37 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:37 UTC
    2023-11-04 forecast-67584c113e86.json 2023-11-28 16:24:34 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:34 UTC
    2023-10-28 forecast-675877ae4366.json 2023-11-28 16:24:32 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:32 UTC
    2023-10-21 forecast-67585642bb7.json 2023-11-28 16:24:30 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:30 UTC
    2023-10-14 forecast-675854fa7e5c.json 2023-11-28 16:24:27 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:27 UTC
    2023-10-07 (No data)