Model: University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering - UM-DeepOutbreak

    Name: DeepOutbreak
    Abbreviation: UM-DeepOutbreak
    Owner: lshandross
    Team name: University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering
    Description: Deep neural network model with conformal predictions.
    Contributors: Ruipu Li (University of Michigan) <liruipu@umich.edu>, Hersh Vora (University of Michigan) <hershvo@umich.edu>, Alexander Rodríguez (University of Michigan) <alrodri@umich.edu> [orcid: 0000-0002-4313-9913]
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: Designated model // Data inputs: Flu hospitalizations from HHS, Google's symptom search data, and CDC's ILI data. // Team funding: Start-up funds from the University of Michigan
    Citation: Rodriguez, A., Tabassum, A., Cui, J., Xie, J., Ho, J., Agarwal, P., Adhikari, B. and Prakash, B.A., 2021, May. Deepcovid: An operational deep learning-driven framework for explainable real-time covid-19 forecasting. In Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (Vol. 35, No. 17, pp. 15393-15400). https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/17808
    Methods: Deep neural network model with conformal predictions. The neural network architecture is a sequence-to-sequence model based on recurrent units and self-attention modules. It is trained in a multi-task setting where each region is considered a task. The uncertainty quantification is conducted post hoc with conformal predictions that follows adaptive conformal inference to adapt to distribution shifts. Spatial correlation is not considered.
    Home: https://alrodri.engin.umich.edu/
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (30)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-04-27 forecast-738176eab4cc.json 2024-04-25 11:22:51 UTC 2024-04-25 11:22:51 UTC
    2024-04-20 forecast-734e12c5df8b.json 2024-04-18 11:22:38 UTC 2024-04-18 11:22:38 UTC
    2024-04-13 forecast-73f0285a1414.json 2024-04-13 11:18:35 UTC 2024-04-13 11:18:35 UTC
    2024-04-06 forecast-73a75444e78d.json 2024-04-04 11:22:36 UTC 2024-04-04 11:22:36 UTC
    2024-03-30 forecast-75827490d152.json 2024-03-28 11:26:26 UTC 2024-03-28 11:26:26 UTC
    2024-03-23 forecast-75557e6fd7a3.json 2024-03-21 11:26:29 UTC 2024-03-21 11:26:29 UTC
    2024-03-16 forecast-75a443d67802.json 2024-03-14 11:25:21 UTC 2024-03-14 11:25:21 UTC
    2024-03-09 forecast-75e226ea2e17.json 2024-03-07 11:25:38 UTC 2024-03-07 11:25:38 UTC
    2024-03-02 forecast-7520709abaa9.json 2024-03-01 15:33:31 UTC 2024-03-01 15:33:31 UTC
    2024-06-01 (No data)
    2024-05-25 (No data)
    2024-05-18 (No data)
    2024-05-11 (No data)
    2024-05-04 forecast-73ae42863afe.json 2024-05-02 11:23:05 UTC 2024-05-02 11:23:05 UTC
    2024-02-24 forecast-74e759feeaa0.json 2024-02-22 11:25:13 UTC 2024-02-22 11:25:13 UTC
    2024-02-17 forecast-754757da9bcf.json 2024-02-15 11:24:59 UTC 2024-02-15 11:24:59 UTC
    2024-02-10 forecast-74e85d04e39f.json 2024-02-08 11:25:28 UTC 2024-02-08 11:25:28 UTC
    2024-02-03 forecast-750e6306d6dc.json 2024-02-02 11:24:32 UTC 2024-02-02 11:24:32 UTC
    2024-01-27 forecast-756e7177494b.json 2024-01-25 11:26:26 UTC 2024-01-25 11:26:26 UTC
    2024-01-20 forecast-74f81b0f1194.json 2024-01-18 11:25:11 UTC 2024-01-18 11:25:11 UTC
    2024-01-13 forecast-752063b1d9e0.json 2024-01-11 11:25:20 UTC 2024-01-11 11:25:20 UTC
    2024-01-06 forecast-74f946bfc5bc.json 2024-01-04 11:25:14 UTC 2024-01-04 11:25:14 UTC
    2023-12-30 forecast-75034edf4aa9.json 2023-12-29 11:23:44 UTC 2023-12-29 11:23:44 UTC
    2023-12-23 forecast-74d16f177dce.json 2023-12-21 11:25:22 UTC 2023-12-21 11:25:22 UTC
    2023-12-16 forecast-75bc7acae507.json 2023-12-14 11:25:20 UTC 2023-12-14 11:25:20 UTC
    2023-12-09 forecast-75323c09a99c.json 2023-12-08 14:56:51 UTC 2023-12-08 14:56:51 UTC
    2023-12-02 forecast-ac64415f2ca0.json 2023-12-07 15:03:28 UTC 2023-12-07 15:03:28 UTC
    2023-11-25 forecast-2e9063aa218a.json 2023-11-28 20:37:54 UTC 2023-11-28 20:37:54 UTC
    2023-11-18 forecast-2e9053bf5e2c.json 2023-11-28 20:37:41 UTC 2023-11-28 20:37:41 UTC
    2023-11-11 forecast-2e901c2aa98.json 2023-11-28 20:37:20 UTC 2023-11-28 20:37:20 UTC
    2023-11-04 forecast-2e90627f46eb.json 2023-11-28 20:37:08 UTC 2023-11-28 20:37:08 UTC
    2023-10-28 forecast-2e902aafafb.json 2023-11-28 20:36:54 UTC 2023-11-28 20:36:54 UTC
    2023-10-21 forecast-2e9046ea542b.json 2023-11-28 20:36:42 UTC 2023-11-28 20:36:42 UTC
    2023-10-14 forecast-2e9050eea6.json 2023-11-28 20:36:09 UTC 2023-11-28 20:36:09 UTC
    2023-10-07 (No data)