Model: Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC); SEIR model team - cfa-flumech

    Name: flu-mechanistic
    Abbreviation: cfa-flumech
    Owner: lshandross
    Team name: Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC); SEIR model team
    Description: SEIR mechanistic model for each US state with Bayesian inference.
    Contributors: Sam Brand (CFA/CDC) <usi1@cdc.gov>, Trevor Martin (CFA/CTC) <upx3@cdc.gov>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: Designated model // Data inputs: Daily incident flu hospitalizations, queried through covidData, weekly NREVSS queried through `cdcfluview`.
    Citation:
    Methods: A mechanistic model generates infections for each day in season for three age groups (children, adults and 65+ elderly) and three flu subtypes (H1N1pdm09, H3N2, B), some of these infections lead to observed data (with delays). The observed data used to calculate the log-likelihood is daily HHS incident hospitalisations per day, weekly flu A/B test positives from clinical labs, and total test distribution across ages and flu subtypes from Public Health labs.
    Home: https://www.cdc.gov/forecast-outbreak-analytics/index.html
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (28)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-04-27 forecast-7381363bc97.json 2024-04-25 11:22:44 UTC 2024-04-25 11:22:44 UTC
    2024-04-20 forecast-734e229cfe3c.json 2024-04-18 11:22:34 UTC 2024-04-18 11:22:34 UTC
    2024-04-13 forecast-73f01448e3d6.json 2024-04-13 11:18:29 UTC 2024-04-13 11:18:29 UTC
    2024-04-06 (No data)
    2024-03-30 forecast-758210a25e7a.json 2024-03-28 11:26:21 UTC 2024-03-28 11:26:21 UTC
    2024-03-23 forecast-75551891ad46.json 2024-03-21 11:26:22 UTC 2024-03-21 11:26:22 UTC
    2024-03-16 forecast-75a4349683d3.json 2024-03-14 11:25:15 UTC 2024-03-14 11:25:15 UTC
    2024-03-09 forecast-75e23a492ad7.json 2024-03-07 11:25:33 UTC 2024-03-07 11:25:33 UTC
    2024-03-02 forecast-75202b02806c.json 2024-03-01 15:33:24 UTC 2024-03-01 15:33:24 UTC
    2024-06-01 (No data)
    2024-05-25 (No data)
    2024-05-18 (No data)
    2024-05-11 (No data)
    2024-05-04 forecast-73ae7615e1f5.json 2024-05-02 11:22:58 UTC 2024-05-02 11:22:58 UTC
    2024-02-24 (No data)
    2024-02-17 forecast-75477b76d255.json 2024-02-15 11:24:53 UTC 2024-02-15 11:24:53 UTC
    2024-02-10 forecast-74e841dfdc90.json 2024-02-08 11:25:22 UTC 2024-02-08 11:25:22 UTC
    2024-02-03 forecast-750e731af3d7.json 2024-02-02 11:24:28 UTC 2024-02-02 11:24:28 UTC
    2024-01-27 forecast-756e904b524.json 2024-01-25 11:26:19 UTC 2024-01-25 11:26:19 UTC
    2024-01-20 forecast-74f818478da9.json 2024-01-18 11:25:06 UTC 2024-01-18 11:25:06 UTC
    2024-01-13 forecast-752062a07826.json 2024-01-11 11:25:13 UTC 2024-01-11 11:25:13 UTC
    2024-01-06 forecast-74f957464280.json 2024-01-04 11:25:08 UTC 2024-01-04 11:25:08 UTC
    2023-12-30 forecast-74dfc20b58a.json 2023-12-28 11:25:01 UTC 2023-12-28 11:25:01 UTC
    2023-12-23 forecast-74d121025c40.json 2023-12-21 11:25:16 UTC 2023-12-21 11:25:16 UTC
    2023-12-16 forecast-75bc3b7ea76.json 2023-12-14 11:25:15 UTC 2023-12-14 11:25:15 UTC
    2023-12-09 forecast-7532d87f49e.json 2023-12-08 14:56:44 UTC 2023-12-08 14:56:44 UTC
    2023-12-02 forecast-76987da95f61.json 2023-12-07 15:03:38 UTC 2023-12-07 15:03:38 UTC
    2023-11-25 forecast-363c4616736.json 2023-11-28 16:24:40 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:40 UTC
    2023-11-18 forecast-363c7dadd4c.json 2023-11-28 16:24:38 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:38 UTC
    2023-11-11 forecast-363c403f3d3.json 2023-11-28 16:24:36 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:36 UTC
    2023-11-04 forecast-363c168b4718.json 2023-11-28 16:24:34 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:34 UTC
    2023-10-28 forecast-363c28d857e8.json 2023-11-28 16:24:31 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:31 UTC
    2023-10-21 forecast-363c33be8a9.json 2023-11-28 16:24:29 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:29 UTC
    2023-10-14 forecast-363c3041c3e.json 2023-11-28 16:24:27 UTC 2023-11-28 16:24:27 UTC
    2023-10-07 (No data)