Model: Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC); renewal model team - cfarenewal-cfaepimlight

    Name: cfa-flu-epidemia-light
    Abbreviation: cfarenewal-cfaepimlight
    Owner: lshandross
    Team name: Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC); renewal model team
    Description: Simple renewal model fit to daily incidence data using the Epidemia package
    Contributors: Catherine M. Herzog (CFA/CDC) <uvw5@cdc.gov>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: Designated model // Data inputs: Daily incident flu hospitalizations via HealthData.gov
    Citation:
    Methods: Semi-mechanistic renewal equation model with day-of-week observation effects and a simple population size adjustment. R(t) extrapolation via a weekly random walk. Model developed and fit using the Epidemia package for R and Stan; see documentation: https://imperialcollegelondon.github.io/epidemia/articles/model-description.html
    Home: https://www.cdc.gov/forecast-outbreak-analytics/index.html
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (29)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-04-27 forecast-73815aaafd4a.json 2024-04-25 11:22:42 UTC 2024-04-25 11:22:42 UTC
    2024-04-20 forecast-734e9d45317.json 2024-04-18 11:22:32 UTC 2024-04-18 11:22:32 UTC
    2024-04-13 forecast-73f024bf708c.json 2024-04-13 11:18:28 UTC 2024-04-13 11:18:28 UTC
    2024-04-06 forecast-73a74a420c47.json 2024-04-04 11:22:31 UTC 2024-04-04 11:22:31 UTC
    2024-03-30 forecast-7582111e2d50.json 2024-03-28 11:26:20 UTC 2024-03-28 11:26:20 UTC
    2024-03-23 forecast-75556089111a.json 2024-03-21 11:26:21 UTC 2024-03-21 11:26:21 UTC
    2024-03-16 forecast-75a42f56cbe6.json 2024-03-14 11:25:13 UTC 2024-03-14 11:25:13 UTC
    2024-03-09 forecast-75e21f4770a9.json 2024-03-07 11:25:31 UTC 2024-03-07 11:25:31 UTC
    2024-03-02 forecast-7520571e0ea2.json 2024-03-01 15:33:22 UTC 2024-03-01 15:33:22 UTC
    2024-06-01 (No data)
    2024-05-25 (No data)
    2024-05-18 (No data)
    2024-05-11 (No data)
    2024-05-04 (No data)
    2024-02-24 forecast-74e75d3fd5f3.json 2024-02-22 11:25:06 UTC 2024-02-22 11:25:06 UTC
    2024-02-17 forecast-7547ef6dab5.json 2024-02-15 11:24:51 UTC 2024-02-15 11:24:51 UTC
    2024-02-10 forecast-74e873e1cc3c.json 2024-02-08 11:25:21 UTC 2024-02-08 11:25:21 UTC
    2024-02-03 forecast-750e486e80ca.json 2024-02-02 11:24:26 UTC 2024-02-02 11:24:26 UTC
    2024-01-27 forecast-756e61817cf0.json 2024-01-25 11:26:17 UTC 2024-01-25 11:26:17 UTC
    2024-01-20 forecast-74f86d5ce240.json 2024-01-18 11:25:05 UTC 2024-01-18 11:25:05 UTC
    2024-01-13 forecast-75203833dde6.json 2024-01-11 11:25:12 UTC 2024-01-11 11:25:12 UTC
    2024-01-06 forecast-74f928ea098b.json 2024-01-04 11:25:07 UTC 2024-01-04 11:25:07 UTC
    2023-12-30 forecast-74df379b41af.json 2023-12-28 11:25:00 UTC 2023-12-28 11:25:00 UTC
    2023-12-23 forecast-74d12d16d517.json 2023-12-21 11:25:15 UTC 2023-12-21 11:25:15 UTC
    2023-12-16 forecast-75bc6f3d9078.json 2023-12-14 11:25:13 UTC 2023-12-14 11:25:13 UTC
    2023-12-09 forecast-75325e62b486.json 2023-12-08 14:56:43 UTC 2023-12-08 14:56:43 UTC
    2023-12-02 forecast-76981fee24b.json 2023-12-07 15:03:35 UTC 2023-12-07 15:03:35 UTC
    2023-11-25 forecast-44844a305581.json 2023-11-28 16:25:25 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:25 UTC
    2023-11-18 forecast-4484452a5dfd.json 2023-11-28 16:25:23 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:23 UTC
    2023-11-11 forecast-448411724737.json 2023-11-28 16:25:21 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:21 UTC
    2023-11-04 forecast-4484680910ef.json 2023-11-28 16:25:19 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:19 UTC
    2023-10-28 forecast-44846e93281.json 2023-11-28 16:25:17 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:17 UTC
    2023-10-21 forecast-4484130d6f58.json 2023-11-28 16:25:15 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:15 UTC
    2023-10-14 forecast-448421327232.json 2023-11-28 16:25:13 UTC 2023-11-28 16:25:13 UTC
    2023-10-07 (No data)