Project: CDC Flu challenge API

    Summary: 21 models, 4724 forecasts, 23,417,100 rows (estimated), 27,018,854 rows (actual) as of 2019-09-19
    Owner: nick
    Model Owners: cornell
    Time Interval Type Week
    Visibility Public
    Description: Guidelines and forecasts for a collaborative U.S. influenza forecasting project.
    Home: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble
    Core data: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/master/model-forecasts/component-models
    Truth Data: truths-2010-through-2018.csv (17,325 rows)
    Analysis: Visualizations, Aggregate scores, Score data

    Models (21)

    Locations (11)

    HHS Region 1, HHS Region 10, HHS Region 2, HHS Region 3, HHS Region 4, HHS Region 5, HHS Region 6, HHS Region 7, HHS Region 8, HHS Region 9, US National

    Targets (7)

    Name Description Unit Point Value Type Date? Step Ahead? Predictions BinLwrs
    1 wk ahead One- to four-week ahead forecasts will be defined as the weighted ILINet percentage for the target week. percent Float 1 step BL|NM|PT|SA 131
    2 wk ahead One- to four-week ahead forecasts will be defined as the weighted ILINet percentage for the target week. percent Float 2 steps BL|NM|PT|SA 131
    3 wk ahead One- to four-week ahead forecasts will be defined as the weighted ILINet percentage for the target week. percent Float 3 steps BL|NM|PT|SA 131
    4 wk ahead One- to four-week ahead forecasts will be defined as the weighted ILINet percentage for the target week. percent Float 4 steps BL|NM|PT|SA 131
    Season onset The onset of the season is defined as the MMWR surveillance week (http://wwwn.cdc.gov/nndss/script/downloads.aspx) when the percentage of visits for influenza-like illness (ILI) reported through ILINet reaches or exceeds the baseline value for three consecutive weeks (updated 2016-2017 ILINet baseline values for the US and each HHS region will be available at http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/overview.htm the week of October 10, 2016). Forecasted 'onset' week values should be for the first week of that three week period. week Text BC|BI|SC 0
    Season peak percentage The intensity will be defined as the highest numeric value that the weighted ILINet percentage reaches during the 2016-2017 influenza season. percent Float BL|NM|PT|SA 131
    Season peak week The peak week will be defined as the MMWR surveillance week that the weighted ILINet percentage is the highest for the 2016-2017 influenza season. week Text BC|BI|SC 0

    Time zeros (225)

    Time Zero Data Version Date # Forecasts Starts Season
    2010-10-24   @ 2010-11-08 21   “2010-2011”
    2010-10-31   @ 2010-11-15 21
    2010-11-07   @ 2010-11-22 21
    2010-11-14   @ 2010-11-29 21
    2010-11-21   @ 2010-12-06 21
    2010-11-28   @ 2010-12-13 21
    2010-12-05   @ 2010-12-20 21
    2010-12-12   @ 2010-12-27 21
    2010-12-19   @ 2011-01-03 21
    2010-12-26   @ 2011-01-10 21
    2011-01-02   @ 2011-01-17 21
    2011-01-09   @ 2011-01-24 21
    2011-01-16   @ 2011-01-31 21
    2011-01-23   @ 2011-02-07 21
    2011-01-30   @ 2011-02-14 21
    2011-02-06   @ 2011-02-21 21
    2011-02-13   @ 2011-02-28 21
    2011-02-20   @ 2011-03-07 21
    2011-02-27   @ 2011-03-14 21
    2011-03-06   @ 2011-03-21 21
    2011-03-13   @ 2011-03-28 21
    2011-03-20   @ 2011-04-04 21
    2011-03-27   @ 2011-04-11 21
    2011-04-03   @ 2011-04-18 21
    2011-04-10   @ 2011-04-25 21
    2011-04-17   @ 2011-05-02 21
    2011-04-24   @ 2011-05-09 21
    2011-05-01   @ 2011-05-16 21
    2011-10-23   @ 2011-11-07 21   “2011-2012”
    2011-10-30   @ 2011-11-14 21
    2011-11-06   @ 2011-11-21 21
    2011-11-13   @ 2011-11-28 21
    2011-11-20   @ 2011-12-05 21
    2011-11-27   @ 2011-12-12 21
    2011-12-04   @ 2011-12-19 21
    2011-12-11   @ 2011-12-26 21
    2011-12-18   @ 2012-01-02 21
    2011-12-25   @ 2012-01-09 21
    2012-01-01   @ 2012-01-16 21
    2012-01-08   @ 2012-01-23 21
    2012-01-15   @ 2012-01-30 21
    2012-01-22   @ 2012-02-06 21
    2012-01-29   @ 2012-02-13 21
    2012-02-05   @ 2012-02-20 21
    2012-02-12   @ 2012-02-27 21
    2012-02-19   @ 2012-03-05 21
    2012-02-26   @ 2012-03-12 21
    2012-03-04   @ 2012-03-19 21
    2012-03-11   @ 2012-03-26 21
    2012-03-18   @ 2012-04-02 21
    2012-03-25   @ 2012-04-09 21
    2012-04-01   @ 2012-04-16 21
    2012-04-08   @ 2012-04-23 21
    2012-04-15   @ 2012-04-30 21
    2012-04-22   @ 2012-05-07 21
    2012-04-29   @ 2012-05-14 21
    2012-10-21   @ 2012-11-05 21   “2012-2013”
    2012-10-28   @ 2012-11-12 21
    2012-11-04   @ 2012-11-19 21
    2012-11-11   @ 2012-11-26 21
    2012-11-18   @ 2012-12-03 21
    2012-11-25   @ 2012-12-10 21
    2012-12-02   @ 2012-12-17 21
    2012-12-09   @ 2012-12-24 21
    2012-12-16   @ 2012-12-31 21
    2012-12-23   @ 2013-01-07 21
    2012-12-30   @ 2013-01-14 21
    2013-01-06   @ 2013-01-21 21
    2013-01-13   @ 2013-01-28 21
    2013-01-20   @ 2013-02-04 21
    2013-01-27   @ 2013-02-11 21
    2013-02-03   @ 2013-02-18 21
    2013-02-10   @ 2013-02-25 21
    2013-02-17   @ 2013-03-04 21
    2013-02-24   @ 2013-03-11 21
    2013-03-03   @ 2013-03-18 21
    2013-03-10   @ 2013-03-25 21
    2013-03-17   @ 2013-04-01 21
    2013-03-24   @ 2013-04-08 21
    2013-03-31   @ 2013-04-15 21
    2013-04-07   @ 2013-04-22 21
    2013-04-14   @ 2013-04-29 21
    2013-04-21   @ 2013-05-06 21
    2013-04-28   @ 2013-05-13 21
    2013-10-20   @ 2013-11-04 21   “2013-2014”
    2013-10-27   @ 2013-11-11 21
    2013-11-03   @ 2013-11-18 21
    2013-11-10   @ 2013-11-25 21
    2013-11-17   @ 2013-12-02 21
    2013-11-24   @ 2013-12-09 21
    2013-12-01   @ 2013-12-16 21
    2013-12-08   @ 2013-12-23 21
    2013-12-15   @ 2013-12-30 21
    2013-12-22   @ 2014-01-06 21
    2013-12-29   @ 2014-01-13 21
    2014-01-05   @ 2014-01-20 21
    2014-01-12   @ 2014-01-27 21
    2014-01-19   @ 2014-02-03 21
    2014-01-26   @ 2014-02-10 21
    2014-02-02   @ 2014-02-17 21
    2014-02-09   @ 2014-02-24 21
    2014-02-16   @ 2014-03-03 21
    2014-02-23   @ 2014-03-10 21
    2014-03-02   @ 2014-03-17 21
    2014-03-09   @ 2014-03-24 21
    2014-03-16   @ 2014-03-31 21
    2014-03-23   @ 2014-04-07 21
    2014-03-30   @ 2014-04-14 21
    2014-04-06   @ 2014-04-21 21
    2014-04-13   @ 2014-04-28 21
    2014-04-20   @ 2014-05-05 21
    2014-04-27   @ 2014-05-12 21
    2014-10-19   @ 2014-11-03 21   “2014-2015”
    2014-10-26   @ 2014-11-10 21
    2014-11-02   @ 2014-11-17 21
    2014-11-09   @ 2014-11-24 21
    2014-11-16   @ 2014-12-01 21
    2014-11-23   @ 2014-12-08 21
    2014-11-30   @ 2014-12-15 21
    2014-12-07   @ 2014-12-22 21
    2014-12-14   @ 2014-12-29 21
    2014-12-21   @ 2015-01-05 21
    2014-12-28   @ 2015-01-12 21
    2015-01-04   @ 2015-01-19 21
    2015-01-11   @ 2015-01-26 21
    2015-01-18   @ 2015-02-02 21
    2015-01-25   @ 2015-02-09 21
    2015-02-01   @ 2015-02-16 21
    2015-02-08   @ 2015-02-23 21
    2015-02-15   @ 2015-03-02 21
    2015-02-22   @ 2015-03-09 21
    2015-03-01   @ 2015-03-16 21
    2015-03-08   @ 2015-03-23 21
    2015-03-15   @ 2015-03-30 21
    2015-03-22   @ 2015-04-06 21
    2015-03-29   @ 2015-04-13 21
    2015-04-05   @ 2015-04-20 21
    2015-04-12   @ 2015-04-27 21
    2015-04-19   @ 2015-05-04 21
    2015-04-26   @ 2015-05-11 21
    2015-05-03   @ 2015-05-18 20
    2015-10-25   @ 2015-11-09 21   “2015-2016”
    2015-11-01   @ 2015-11-16 21
    2015-11-08   @ 2015-11-23 21
    2015-11-15   @ 2015-11-30 21
    2015-11-22   @ 2015-12-07 21
    2015-11-29   @ 2015-12-14 21
    2015-12-06   @ 2015-12-21 21
    2015-12-13   @ 2015-12-28 21
    2015-12-20   @ 2016-01-04 21
    2015-12-27   @ 2016-01-11 21
    2016-01-03   @ 2016-01-18 21
    2016-01-10   @ 2016-01-25 21
    2016-01-17   @ 2016-02-01 21
    2016-01-24   @ 2016-02-08 21
    2016-01-31   @ 2016-02-15 21
    2016-02-07   @ 2016-02-22 21
    2016-02-14   @ 2016-02-29 21
    2016-02-21   @ 2016-03-07 21
    2016-02-28   @ 2016-03-14 21
    2016-03-06   @ 2016-03-21 21
    2016-03-13   @ 2016-03-28 21
    2016-03-20   @ 2016-04-04 21
    2016-03-27   @ 2016-04-11 21
    2016-04-03   @ 2016-04-18 21
    2016-04-10   @ 2016-04-25 21
    2016-04-17   @ 2016-05-02 21
    2016-04-24   @ 2016-05-09 21
    2016-05-01   @ 2016-05-16 21
    2016-10-23   @ 2016-11-07 21   “2016-2017”
    2016-10-30   @ 2016-11-14 21
    2016-11-06   @ 2016-11-21 21
    2016-11-13   @ 2016-11-28 21
    2016-11-20   @ 2016-12-05 21
    2016-11-27   @ 2016-12-12 21
    2016-12-04   @ 2016-12-19 21
    2016-12-11   @ 2016-12-26 21
    2016-12-18   @ 2017-01-02 21
    2016-12-25   @ 2017-01-09 21
    2017-01-01   @ 2017-01-16 21
    2017-01-08   @ 2017-01-23 21
    2017-01-15   @ 2017-01-30 21
    2017-01-22   @ 2017-02-06 21
    2017-01-29   @ 2017-02-13 21
    2017-02-05   @ 2017-02-20 21
    2017-02-12   @ 2017-02-27 21
    2017-02-19   @ 2017-03-06 21
    2017-02-26   @ 2017-03-13 21
    2017-03-05   @ 2017-03-20 21
    2017-03-12   @ 2017-03-27 21
    2017-03-19   @ 2017-04-03 21
    2017-03-26   @ 2017-04-10 21
    2017-04-02   @ 2017-04-17 21
    2017-04-09   @ 2017-04-24 21
    2017-04-16   @ 2017-05-01 21
    2017-04-23   @ 2017-05-08 21
    2017-04-30   @ 2017-05-15 21
    2017-10-22   @ 2017-11-06 21   “2017-2018”
    2017-10-29   @ 2017-11-13 21
    2017-11-05   @ 2017-11-20 21
    2017-11-12   @ 2017-11-27 21
    2017-11-19   @ 2017-12-04 21
    2017-11-26   @ 2017-12-11 21
    2017-12-03   @ 2017-12-18 21
    2017-12-10   @ 2017-12-25 21
    2017-12-17   @ 2018-01-01 21
    2017-12-24   @ 2018-01-08 21
    2017-12-31   @ 2018-01-15 21
    2018-01-07   @ 2018-01-22 21
    2018-01-14   @ 2018-01-29 21
    2018-01-21   @ 2018-02-05 21
    2018-01-28   @ 2018-02-12 21
    2018-02-04   @ 2018-02-19 21
    2018-02-11   @ 2018-02-26 21
    2018-02-18   @ 2018-03-05 21
    2018-02-25   @ 2018-03-12 21
    2018-03-04   @ 2018-03-19 21
    2018-03-11   @ 2018-03-26 21
    2018-03-18   @ 2018-04-02 21
    2018-03-25   @ 2018-04-09 21
    2018-04-01   @ 2018-04-16 21
    2018-04-08   @ 2018-04-23 21
    2018-04-15   @ 2018-04-30 21
    2018-04-22   @ 2018-05-07 21
    2018-04-29   @ 2018-05-14 21