Project: CDC Real-time Forecasts API Config
Summary: | 39 models, 1770 forecasts, 20,190,456 rows (estimated), 11,217,170 rows (actual) as of 2019-12-13 |
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Owner: | kgle |
Model Owners: | tom, nutcha |
Time Interval Type | Week |
Visibility | Public |
Description: | Guidelines and real-time forecasts for a collaborative U.S. influenza forecasting project. |
Home: | https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble |
Core data: | https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/master/model-forecasts/component-models |
Truth Data: | zoltar_truths_realtime_seasons.csv (4,466 rows) |
Analysis: | Visualizations, Aggregate scores, Score data |
HHS Region 1
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HHS Region 10
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HHS Region 2
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HHS Region 3
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HHS Region 4
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HHS Region 5
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HHS Region 6
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HHS Region 7
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HHS Region 8
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HHS Region 9
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US National
Name | Description | Unit | Point Value Type | Date? | Step Ahead? | Predictions | BinLwrs |
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1 wk ahead | One- to four-week ahead forecasts will be defined as the weighted ILINet percentage for the target week. | percent | Float | 1 step | BL|NM|PT|SA | 131 | |
2 wk ahead | One- to four-week ahead forecasts will be defined as the weighted ILINet percentage for the target week. | percent | Float | 2 steps | BL|NM|PT|SA | 131 | |
3 wk ahead | One- to four-week ahead forecasts will be defined as the weighted ILINet percentage for the target week. | percent | Float | 3 steps | BL|NM|PT|SA | 131 | |
4 wk ahead | One- to four-week ahead forecasts will be defined as the weighted ILINet percentage for the target week. | percent | Float | 4 steps | BL|NM|PT|SA | 131 | |
Season onset | The onset of the season is defined as the MMWR surveillance week (http://wwwn.cdc.gov/nndss/script/downloads.aspx) when the percentage of visits for influenza-like illness (ILI) reported through ILINet reaches or exceeds the baseline value for three consecutive weeks (updated 2016-2017 ILINet baseline values for the US and each HHS region will be available at http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/overview.htm the week of October 10, 2016). Forecasted 'onset' week values should be for the first week of that three week period. | week | Text | BC|BI|SC | 0 | ||
Season peak percentage | The intensity will be defined as the highest numeric value that the weighted ILINet percentage reaches during the 2016-2017 influenza season. | percent | Float | BL|NM|PT|SA | 131 | ||
Season peak week | The peak week will be defined as the MMWR surveillance week that the weighted ILINet percentage is the highest for the 2016-2017 influenza season. | week | Text | BC|BI|SC | 0 |
Time Zero | Data Version Date | # Forecasts | Starts Season |
---|---|---|---|
2017-10-23 | (No data version date) | 27 | “2017-2018” |
2017-10-30 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2017-11-06 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2017-11-13 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2017-11-20 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2017-11-27 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2017-12-04 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2017-12-11 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2017-12-18 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2017-12-25 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2018-01-01 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2018-01-08 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2018-01-15 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2018-01-22 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2018-01-29 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2018-02-05 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-02-12 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-02-19 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-02-26 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-03-05 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-03-12 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-03-19 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-03-26 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-04-02 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-04-09 | (No data version date) | 24 | |
2018-04-16 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-04-23 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-04-30 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-10-08 | (No data version date) | 7 | “2018-2019” |
2018-10-15 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-10-22 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-10-29 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-11-05 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-11-12 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-11-19 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-11-26 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-12-03 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-12-10 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-12-17 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-12-24 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2018-12-31 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-01-07 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-01-14 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-01-21 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-01-28 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-02-04 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-02-11 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-02-18 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-02-25 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-03-04 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-03-11 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-03-18 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-03-25 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-04-01 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-04-08 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-04-15 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-04-22 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-04-29 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-09-30 | (No data version date) | 10 | “2019-2020” |
2019-10-07 | (No data version date) | 13 | |
2019-10-14 | (No data version date) | 33 | |
2019-10-21 | (No data version date) | 33 | |
2019-10-28 | (No data version date) | 32 | |
2019-11-04 | (No data version date) | 32 | |
2019-11-11 | (No data version date) | 32 | |
2019-11-18 | (No data version date) | 32 | |
2019-11-25 | (No data version date) | 26 | |
2019-12-02 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2019-12-09 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2019-12-16 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2019-12-23 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2019-12-30 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-01-06 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-01-13 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-01-20 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-01-27 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-02-03 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-02-10 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-02-17 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-02-24 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-03-02 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-03-09 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-03-16 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-03-23 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-03-30 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-04-06 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-04-13 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-04-20 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-04-27 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-05-04 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-05-11 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
2020-05-18 | (No data version date) | 1 |