Project: ECDC European COVID-19 Forecast Hub Config

    Summary: 62 models, 2514 forecasts, 496,059 predictions
    Owner: epiforecasts
    Model Owners: epiforecasts
    Visibility Public
    Description: The goal of this repository is to create a standardized set of data on forecasts from experienced teams making projections of incident case and death numbers due to COVID-19 in the EU and the United Kingdom.
    Home: https://github.com/epiforecasts/covid19-forecast-hub-europe
    Core data: https://github.com/epiforecasts/covid19-forecast-hub-europe/tree/master/data-processed
    Truth Data: (No truth data)
    Visualization: (Please log in to view visualizations) (interactive visualization of all forecasts in the project [beta])
    Summary: Summary (interactive visualization/tabular summary of all - or a subset of - forecasts in the project)
    Explorer: Explorer (summarizes the subset of the most recent forecasts from each team)
    Download: Download (interface to start a query for any forecast data in the project)

    Models (62)

    Abbreviation Team # Forecasts Oldest Newest Upload time
    epiforecasts-EpiExpert_Rt Epiforecasts / London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 19 2021-04-19 2021-08-30 2021-09-01 07:05:59 UTC
    epiforecasts-EpiExpert Epiforecasts / London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 28 2021-02-15 2021-08-30 2021-09-01 07:05:54 UTC
    epiforecasts-EpiExpert_direct Epiforecasts / London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 22 2021-04-26 2021-09-20 2021-09-22 07:06:36 UTC
    LANL-GrowthRate Los Alamos National Labs 33 2021-02-07 2021-09-26 2021-09-28 07:05:51 UTC
    UNIPV-BayesINGARCHX UNIPV Periscope Working Group 37 2021-03-08 2021-11-29 2021-12-01 07:05:13 UTC
    ECDC-hosp_model ECDC Modelling Team 9 2021-10-11 2021-12-20 2021-12-23 07:17:22 UTC
    DirkBeckmann-Gompertz DirkBeckmann 4 2021-11-22 2022-01-24 2022-01-26 07:18:34 UTC
    UMass-MechBayes UMass-Amherst 52 2021-03-28 2022-02-13 2022-02-16 07:20:08 UTC
    Statgroup19-spatialrichards Statgroup19 28 2021-10-18 2022-06-27 2022-06-29 07:20:27 UTC
    Statgroup19-richards Statgroup19 30 2021-10-18 2022-06-27 2022-06-29 07:17:59 UTC
    epiforecasts-EpiNow2 Epiforecasts / London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 66 2021-02-15 2022-06-27 2022-06-29 07:18:34 UTC
    FIAS_FZJ-Epi1Ger Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies & Forschungszentrum J├╝lich 69 2021-02-15 2022-06-27 2022-06-29 07:19:18 UTC
    UVA-Ensemble University of Virginia, Biocomplexity COVID-19 Response Team 54 2021-03-08 2022-07-18 2022-07-20 07:19:02 UTC
    UC3M-EpiGraph Universidad Carlos III de Madrid 26 2021-12-13 2022-08-01 2022-08-03 07:19:20 UTC
    AMM-EpiInvert AMM 3 2022-08-01 2022-08-15 2022-08-17 07:17:50 UTC
    GoeWroc-BaseBayes GoeWroc 3 2022-07-25 2022-08-15 2022-08-17 07:17:42 UTC
    HZI-AgeExtendedSEIR Helmholtz Zentrum fuer Infektionsforschung 75 2021-03-15 2022-08-15 2022-08-17 07:18:35 UTC
    itwm-dSEIR Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics ITWM 79 2021-02-15 2022-08-15 2022-08-17 07:17:37 UTC
    EuroCOVIDhub-ensemble European COVID-19 Forecast Hub 76 2021-03-08 2022-08-15 2022-08-17 07:20:32 UTC
    epiforecasts-tsensemble epiforecasts 44 2021-10-10 2022-08-14 2022-08-17 07:20:51 UTC
    epiforecasts-arimareg epiforecasts 44 2021-10-10 2022-08-14 2022-08-17 07:20:13 UTC
    epiforecasts-caseconv epiforecasts 44 2021-10-10 2022-08-14 2022-08-17 07:18:56 UTC
    ULZF-SEIRC19SI University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Health Sciences Team 41 2021-11-15 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:23:16 UTC
    EuroCOVIDhub-baseline European COVID-19 Forecast Hub 77 2021-03-08 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:23:42 UTC
    CovidMetrics-epiBATS Univertity of Cologne Covid Metrics 65 2021-05-31 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:23:19 UTC
    MUNI-ARIMA Masaryk University 67 2021-05-03 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:22:31 UTC
    PL_GRedlarski-DistrictsSum Grzegorz Redlarski 70 2021-04-26 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:23:55 UTC
    BIOCOMSC-Gompertz BIOCOMSC 67 2021-04-26 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:23:13 UTC
    ICM-agentModel ICM / University of Warsaw 64 2021-02-15 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:22:53 UTC
    ITWW-county_repro ITWW 78 2021-02-15 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:22:01 UTC
    MOCOS-agent1 MOCOS group 73 2021-02-15 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:22:49 UTC
    ILM-EKF ILM 77 2021-03-08 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:24:15 UTC
    RobertWalraven-ESG Robert Walraven 78 2021-03-01 2022-08-22 2022-08-23 07:22:45 UTC
    epiforecasts-weeklygrowth epiforecasts 31 2022-01-16 2022-08-21 2022-08-23 07:23:27 UTC
    UpgUmibUsi-MultiBayes UNIPG_UNIMIB_USI_UNINSUBRIA 74 2021-03-22 2022-08-21 2022-08-23 07:23:46 UTC
    SDSC_ISG-TrendModel Swiss Data Science Center / University of Geneva 74 2021-03-29 2022-08-21 2022-08-23 07:23:52 UTC
    Karlen-pypm Karlen Working Group 49 2021-02-14 2022-08-21 2022-08-23 07:24:01 UTC
    USC-SIkJalpha University of Southern California 83 2021-02-14 2022-08-21 2022-08-23 07:23:09 UTC
    LeipzigIMISE-SECIR Universitaet Leipzig IMISE/GenStat 4 2021-03-29 2021-04-19 2021-05-06 14:17:55 UTC
    bisop-seirfilterlite Centre for Modelling of Biological and Social Processes 6 2021-04-05 2021-04-19 2021-05-06 15:20:58 UTC
    Priesemann-bayes Priesemann Group, MPI-DS 10 2021-03-01 2021-05-03 2021-05-06 14:22:05 UTC
    UMass-SemiMech UMass-Amherst 20 2021-03-28 2021-07-04 2021-07-07 16:27:24 UTC
    KITmetricslab-bivar_branching KITmetricslab 2 2021-07-05 2021-07-12 2021-10-12 07:04:57 UTC
    KITmetricslab-bivariate_branching KITmetricslab 2 2021-07-05 2021-07-12 2021-07-14 07:20:50 UTC
    MIMUW-StochSEIR Faculty of Mathematics, Informatics, and Mechanics, University of Warsaw 30 2021-02-15 2021-07-12 2021-07-14 07:21:00 UTC
    bisop-seirfilter Centre for Modelling of Biological and Social Processes 13 2021-03-29 2021-05-17 2021-06-27 12:49:38 UTC
    DSMPG-bayes Priesemann Group, MPI-DS 17 2021-03-01 2021-06-21 2021-06-27 12:54:14 UTC
    UB-BSLCoV UB 24 2021-04-26 2021-10-04 2021-10-06 07:08:32 UTC
    epiMOX-SUIHTER epiMOX 30 2021-05-03 2021-11-22 2021-11-24 07:08:46 UTC
    Imperial-DeCa Imperial College London 32 2021-03-15 2021-11-22 2021-11-24 07:09:12 UTC
    Imperial-RtI0 Imperial College London 32 2021-03-15 2021-11-22 2021-11-24 07:09:39 UTC
    Imperial-sbkp Imperial College London 32 2021-03-15 2021-11-22 2021-11-24 07:09:43 UTC
    USyd-OneModelMan University of Sydney Forecast Lab 38 2021-03-29 2021-12-13 2021-12-15 07:05:59 UTC
    MUNI-LaggedRegARIMA Masaryk University 7 2021-11-15 2021-12-27 2021-12-29 07:20:52 UTC
    MUNI-VAR Masaryk University 8 2021-11-08 2021-12-27 2021-12-29 07:20:31 UTC
    UNED-PreCoV2 UNED 52 2021-03-08 2022-04-04 2022-04-06 07:20:44 UTC
    MUNI_DMS-SEIAR Department of Mathematics and Statistics Masaryk University Team 63 2021-03-08 2022-04-11 2022-04-12 07:19:15 UTC
    IEM_Health-CovidProject IEM Health 62 2021-03-08 2022-05-09 2022-05-11 07:21:05 UTC
    prolix-euclidean prolix 20 2022-01-03 2022-05-16 2022-05-18 07:21:33 UTC
    JBUD-HMXK JBUD 27 2021-11-14 2022-06-05 2022-06-08 07:21:38 UTC
    MIT_CovidAnalytics-DELPHI CovidAnalytics at MIT 70 2021-02-15 2022-07-11 2022-07-13 07:18:57 UTC
    fohm-c19inbel FD-AN, Folkh├Ąlsomyndigheten 0

    Units (32)

    Abbreviation Name
    LU LU
    LT LT
    LI LI
    IT IT
    IS IS
    IE IE
    HU HU
    HR HR
    GR GR
    GB GB
    FR FR
    FI FI
    ES ES
    EE EE
    DK DK
    DE DE
    CZ CZ
    CY CY
    CH CH
    BG BG
    BE BE
    AT AT
    SK SK
    SI SI
    SE SE
    RO RO
    PT PT
    PL PL
    NO NO
    NL NL
    MT MT
    LV LV

    Targets (60)

    Target Group # Targets Type Outcome Variable Step ahead? Example Target
    week ahead incident cases 20 continuous incident cases “1 wk ahead inc case”
    week ahead incident deaths 20 continuous incident deaths “1 wk ahead inc death”
    week ahead incident hospitalizations 20 continuous incident hospitalizations “1 wk ahead inc hosp”

    Time zeros (172)

    Time Zero Data Version Date # Forecasts Starts Season
    2021-02-07 (No data version date) 1
    2021-02-14 (No data version date) 4
    2021-02-15 (No data version date) 10
    2021-02-21 (No data version date) 4
    2021-02-22 (No data version date) 10
    2021-02-28 (No data version date) 4
    2021-03-01 (No data version date) 7
    2021-03-07 (No data version date) 3
    2021-03-08 (No data version date) 23
    2021-03-14 (No data version date) 3
    2021-03-15 (No data version date) 26
    2021-03-21 (No data version date) 3
    2021-03-22 (No data version date) 27
    2021-03-28 (No data version date) 8
    2021-03-29 (No data version date) 29
    2021-04-04 (No data version date) 8
    2021-04-05 (No data version date) 30
    2021-04-11 (No data version date) 8
    2021-04-12 (No data version date) 33
    2021-04-18 (No data version date) 8
    2021-04-19 (No data version date) 34
    2021-04-25 (No data version date) 9
    2021-04-26 (No data version date) 35
    2021-05-02 (No data version date) 6
    2021-05-03 (No data version date) 30
    2021-05-09 (No data version date) 7
    2021-05-10 (No data version date) 32
    2021-05-16 (No data version date) 6
    2021-05-17 (No data version date) 32
    2021-05-23 (No data version date) 6
    2021-05-24 (No data version date) 31
    2021-05-30 (No data version date) 5
    2021-05-31 (No data version date) 30
    2021-06-06 (No data version date) 6
    2021-06-07 (No data version date) 33
    2021-06-13 (No data version date) 6
    2021-06-14 (No data version date) 32
    2021-06-20 (No data version date) 6
    2021-06-21 (No data version date) 33
    2021-06-27 (No data version date) 6
    2021-06-28 (No data version date) 31
    2021-07-04 (No data version date) 6
    2021-07-05 (No data version date) 34
    2021-07-11 (No data version date) 5
    2021-07-12 (No data version date) 33
    2021-07-18 (No data version date) 5
    2021-07-19 (No data version date) 31
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    2021-08-01 (No data version date) 4
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    2021-12-05 (No data version date) 7
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    2021-12-21 (No data version date) 0
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    2022-08-28 (No data version date) 0
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    2022-09-04 (No data version date) 0
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