Project: CDC Influenza Hospitalization Forecasts Config

    Summary: 44 models, 1064 forecasts, 342,938 predictions
    Owner: lshandross
    Model Owners: eray
    Visibility Public
    Description: Forecasts of confirmed influenza hospitalization admissions during the 2022–2023 influenza season, created as part of the CDC’s influenza forecasting exercise
    Home: https://github.com/cdcepi/Flusight-forecast-data
    Core data: https://github.com/cdcepi/Flusight-forecast-data/tree/master/data-forecasts
    Truth Data: truth_inc-hosp_2023-01-30.csv (batch 18 of 18 issued at 2023-01-31 18:50:33 UTC) . Download
    Visualization: (Please log in to view visualizations) (interactive visualization of all forecasts in the project [beta])
    Summary: Summary (interactive visualization/tabular summary of all - or a subset of - forecasts in the project)
    Explorer: Explorer (summarizes the subset of the most recent forecasts from each team)
    Download: Download (interface to start a query for any forecast data in the project)

    Models (44)

    Abbreviation Team # Forecasts Oldest Newest Upload time
    JHUAPL-Gecko Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab 6 2022-01-10 2022-02-14 2023-01-05 13:12:04 UTC
    VTSanghani-Transformer Virginia Tech, Sanghani Center for Artificial Intelligence and Data Analytics 5 2022-10-17 2022-11-14 2023-01-10 20:36:48 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-ensemble_rclp computational uncertainty lab 9 2022-10-17 2022-12-19 2023-01-03 21:41:52 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-stacked_ili computational uncertainty lab 8 2022-10-31 2022-12-26 2023-01-03 21:41:33 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-KalmanFilter computational uncertainty lab 11 2022-10-17 2022-12-26 2023-01-04 19:30:55 UTC
    CEID-Walk University of Georgia Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases Forecasting Working Group 25 2022-01-17 2022-12-26 2022-12-29 21:12:01 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-HWAR2 computational uncertainty lab 12 2022-10-17 2023-01-02 2023-01-05 19:58:10 UTC
    CU-ensemble Columbia University 37 2022-01-10 2023-01-16 2023-01-24 14:44:22 UTC
    VTSanghani-ExogModel Virginia Tech, Sanghani Center for Artificial Intelligence and Data Analytics 31 2022-01-10 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:04 UTC
    UVAFluX-Ensemble University of Virginia, Biocomplexity Institute 74 2022-01-10 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:06 UTC
    UNC_IDD-InfluPaint UNC Infectious Disease Dynamics 10 2022-11-14 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:08 UTC
    UMass-gbq UMass-Amherst 7 2022-12-05 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:09 UTC
    UGuelph-FluPLUG University of Guelph Dynamics Training Lab 13 2022-10-24 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:10 UTC
    UGA_flucast-OKeeffe UGA_flucast 14 2022-10-17 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:11 UTC
    SigSci-TSENS Signature Science 39 2022-01-10 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:13 UTC
    SigSci-CREG Signature Science 39 2022-01-10 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:14 UTC
    SGroup-RandomForest Srivastava Group 34 2022-02-07 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:16 UTC
    PSI-DICE Predictive Science Inc 39 2022-01-10 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:17 UTC
    NIH-Flu_ARIMA Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health (NIH) 14 2022-10-17 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:18 UTC
    MOBS-GLEAM_FLUH MOBS Lab at Northeastern 35 2022-01-31 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:19 UTC
    MIGHTE-Nsemble MIGHTE 14 2022-10-24 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:21 UTC
    LosAlamos_NAU-CModel_Flu Los Alamos National Lab and Northern Arizona University 32 2022-01-10 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:22 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-humanjudgment computational uncertainty lab 26 2022-01-31 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:24 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-experthuman computational uncertainty lab 6 2022-11-28 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:24 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-hier_mech_model computational uncertainty lab 13 2022-10-24 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:26 UTC
    ISU_NiemiLab-Flu Iowa State Niemi Research Lab 12 2022-11-07 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:27 UTC
    CEPH-Rtrend_fluH CEPH Lab at Indiana University 12 2022-11-07 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:29 UTC
    JHU_IDD-CovidSP John Hopkins ID Dynamics 12 2022-10-24 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:31 UTC
    UMass-trends_ensemble UMass-Amherst 38 2022-01-17 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:32 UTC
    GT-FluFNP GT 39 2022-01-10 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:34 UTC
    Flusight-ensemble Flusight 58 2022-01-10 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:35 UTC
    CMU-TimeSeries Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group 39 2022-01-10 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:38 UTC
    CADPH-FluCAT_Ensemble California Department of Public Health (CADPH) 15 2022-10-17 2023-01-23 2023-01-25 23:20:38 UTC
    Flusight-baseline Flusight 40 2022-01-10 2023-01-30 2023-02-01 11:21:09 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-VAR2K_plusCOVID computational uncertainty lab 22 2022-01-10 2022-06-13 2023-01-10 20:42:20 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-VAR2K computational uncertainty lab 22 2022-01-10 2022-06-13 2023-01-10 20:42:21 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-TEVA computational uncertainty lab 22 2022-01-10 2022-06-13 2023-01-10 20:42:18 UTC
    UT_FluCast-Voltaire UT_FluCast 24 2022-01-10 2022-06-20 2023-01-05 19:31:52 UTC
    Umass-ARIMA Umass-Amherst 9 2022-04-25 2022-06-20 2023-01-06 19:44:28 UTC
    SGroup-SIkJalpha Srivastava Group 24 2022-01-10 2022-06-20 2023-01-05 13:31:17 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-VAR2_plusCOVID computational uncertainty lab 32 2022-01-10 2022-06-20 2023-01-10 20:42:21 UTC
    LUcompUncertLab-VAR2 computational uncertainty lab 23 2022-01-10 2022-06-20 2023-01-10 20:42:21 UTC
    IEM_Health-FluProject IEM Health 47 2022-01-10 2022-06-20 2023-01-10 20:42:23 UTC
    GH-Flusight Guidehouse FluSight Team 21 2022-01-24 2022-06-20 2023-01-05 13:41:57 UTC

    Units (54)

    Abbreviation Name
    01 Alabama
    02 Alaska
    04 Arizona
    05 Arkansas
    06 California
    08 Colorado
    09 Connecticut
    10 Delaware
    11 District of Columbia
    12 Florida
    13 Georgia
    15 Hawaii
    16 Idaho
    17 Illinois
    18 Indiana
    19 Iowa
    20 Kansas
    21 Kentucky
    22 Louisiana
    23 Maine
    24 Maryland
    25 Massachusetts
    26 Michigan
    27 Minnesota
    28 Mississippi
    29 Missouri
    30 Montana
    31 Nebraska
    32 Nevada
    33 New Hampshire
    34 New Jersey
    35 New Mexico
    36 New York
    37 North Carolina
    38 North Dakota
    39 Ohio
    40 Oklahoma
    41 Oregon
    42 Pennsylvania
    44 Rhode Island
    45 South Carolina
    46 South Dakota
    47 Tennessee
    48 Texas
    49 Utah
    50 Vermont
    51 Virginia
    53 Washington
    54 West Virginia
    55 Wisconsin
    56 Wyoming
    72 Puerto Rico
    78 Virgin Islands
    US US

    Targets (4)

    Target Group # Targets Type Outcome Variable Step ahead? Example Target
    week ahead incident hospitalizations 4 continuous incident hospitalizations “1 wk ahead inc flu hosp”

    Time zeros (66)

    Time Zero Data Version Date # Forecasts Starts Season
    2021-12-13 (No data version date) 0
    2021-12-20 (No data version date) 0
    2021-12-27 (No data version date) 0
    2022-01-03 (No data version date) 0
    2022-01-10 (No data version date) 23
    2022-01-17 (No data version date) 24
    2022-01-24 (No data version date) 26
    2022-01-31 (No data version date) 26
    2022-02-07 (No data version date) 28
    2022-02-14 (No data version date) 28
    2022-02-21 (No data version date) 27
    2022-02-28 (No data version date) 26
    2022-03-07 (No data version date) 26
    2022-03-14 (No data version date) 27
    2022-03-21 (No data version date) 28
    2022-03-28 (No data version date) 27
    2022-04-04 (No data version date) 26
    2022-04-11 (No data version date) 28
    2022-04-18 (No data version date) 28
    2022-04-25 (No data version date) 28
    2022-05-02 (No data version date) 28
    2022-05-09 (No data version date) 28
    2022-05-16 (No data version date) 28
    2022-05-23 (No data version date) 22
    2022-05-30 (No data version date) 28
    2022-06-06 (No data version date) 26
    2022-06-13 (No data version date) 27
    2022-06-20 (No data version date) 25
    2022-10-03 (No data version date) 1   “2022-2023”
    2022-10-10 (No data version date) 0
    2022-10-17 (No data version date) 22
    2022-10-24 (No data version date) 25
    2022-10-31 (No data version date) 28
    2022-11-07 (No data version date) 29
    2022-11-14 (No data version date) 30
    2022-11-21 (No data version date) 31
    2022-11-28 (No data version date) 30
    2022-12-05 (No data version date) 33
    2022-12-12 (No data version date) 33
    2022-12-19 (No data version date) 31
    2022-12-26 (No data version date) 28
    2023-01-02 (No data version date) 28
    2023-01-09 (No data version date) 23
    2023-01-16 (No data version date) 27
    2023-01-23 (No data version date) 26
    2023-01-30 (No data version date) 1
    2023-02-06 (No data version date) 0
    2023-02-13 (No data version date) 0
    2023-02-20 (No data version date) 0
    2023-02-27 (No data version date) 0
    2023-03-06 (No data version date) 0
    2023-03-13 (No data version date) 0
    2023-03-20 (No data version date) 0
    2023-03-27 (No data version date) 0
    2023-04-03 (No data version date) 0
    2023-04-10 (No data version date) 0
    2023-04-17 (No data version date) 0
    2023-04-24 (No data version date) 0
    2023-05-01 (No data version date) 0
    2023-05-08 (No data version date) 0
    2023-05-15 (No data version date) 0
    2023-05-22 (No data version date) 0
    2023-05-29 (No data version date) 0
    2023-06-05 (No data version date) 0
    2023-06-12 (No data version date) 0
    2023-06-19 (No data version date) 0